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Nathan Howard/AP
New NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist poll finds multiple criminal investigations into former President Donald Trump’s actions justified, despite Trump continuing to claim a conspiracy against himself said by a majority of Americans.
A survey of more than 1,300 adults found that despite Trump’s love among Republicans, he remains highly disliked and continues to battle hard with independents. Six out of ten Americans don’t want him to be president again.
The outcome comes when Trump filed the specter of his potential arrest for a hush-money investigation from New York.Trump faces at least three other criminal investigations. Two of his are based on classified documents found in his Florida home, one investigating his role in the January 6 riots, and one from Georgia. Yes, investigating his pressure campaign to overturn the election results. The 2020 presidential election he lost.
They also came when Trump held his first presidential campaign rally in Waco, Texas, where he baselessly described the investigation as the result of “prosecutorial misconduct.”
“Prosecutorial misconduct is their new tool,” Trump said. And don’t let them run another election with yet another tool in their toolkit. “
But most Americans disagree with him. By a difference of 56% to 41%, respondents said the survey was fair and not a “witch hunt”.
As expected, there is a large partisan divide, with 9 in 10 Democrats calling themselves fair and 8 in 10 Republicans calling them witch hunts. A small majority of independents call it fair, but it’s split broadly between 51% and 47%.
Those most likely to say the survey is unbiased are Generation Z and millennials, people living in big cities and suburbs, white college graduates, and especially college-educated white women.
The latter is one of the most trusted Democratic voting groups and anti-Trump demographics.
The people most likely to say the investigation was a witch hunt were the core Trump supporters: white men with no degrees, white evangelical Christians, and people living in small towns.
Three-quarters said Trump did something illegal (46%) or unethical (29%). Only 1 in 4 (23%) thinks he has done nothing wrong.
Reflecting public perception of the ongoing investigation, those most likely to think Trump did something illegal were college-educated whites, especially college-educated white women, women living in small cities and suburbs, People who live in the Northeast.
But only 10% of Republicans think Trump did something illegal. Opinions are even more divided as to whether Trump did something unethical or did nothing wrong.
This reflects the splitting of the GOP primaries. About half of the Republican public voters seem to be open to others, but Trump apparently still has a good chunk of the Republican party locked up.
Republicans also like Trump a lot, with 8 out of 10 favoring him. But more broadly, Trump is still very unpopular.
Overall, only 39% have a favorable opinion of Trump, and 51% have a negative opinion. This includes only 37% of independents who view him positively.
Trump’s 2024 campaign is going well, but 61% of respondents don’t want him to be president, nearly two-thirds of independents.
It’s a different story for Republicans, with three-quarters wanting Trump re-elected.
That’s why Trump is so popular on the base, but politically toxic to everyone else. Because with numbers like this, it’s not only hard to see how Trump could win the general election, but it’s also hard to see how he could lose the Republican nomination. A clear vulnerability at the expense of the Republican Party in the recent election.
A survey of 1,327 adults, including 1,226 registered voters, was conducted from Monday, March 20 through Thursday, March 23. The survey was conducted over the phone, by text message, online with live calls to mobiles and landlines, and in English and English. Spanish. The margin of error for the poll is +/- 3.5 percentage points.
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